The scenario is a basic tool for talking about the future and being
anticipatory- prepared for the changes that will occur in your working
environment. Since the future is by definition not predictable with
any precision, we develop scenarios-specific predictions that individually
may or may not prove true, yet collectively form a picture of a
possible future. The value of the exercise is not dependent on the
validity of any individual prediction: the overall picture is usually
the most important element. Many organizations use the scenario
development as the basis for a rigorous process of contingency planning.
The way this module works is as follows: a large WorkWall is templated
with a timeline, starting with the current year and moving 20 to
50 years into the future. The WorkWall is sometimes also divided
into horizontal tracks (for example, global, national, regional,
local, organizational; or social structure, participants individually
come up to the workWall, make a prediction, then write it in the
appropriate space on the templated wall. After each participant
has made a prediction, start the next round. three or four rounds
is typical: for example: first round, name an event you think will
occur, and when: second round-name a trend which you think will
be significant; third round-name something you're afraid will occur;
fourth round-name an event which you will be part of making happen.