facilitation manual

modules/assignments
explore a series of assignments that give a theme and direction to each module of your event.

ANDmap
author to author
best case/worst case
complex system experience
dialogue
inovator's game
inventions
legends
living systems
metaphors
mind map
model building
quaker conversation
scenario timeline
sytopical reading
take-a-panel/share-a-panel/synthesis
terms of art
weak signal research
why it won't work
win as much as you can














 

 


scenario: description

The scenario is a basic tool for talking about the future and being anticipatory- prepared for the changes that will occur in your working environment. Since the future is by definition not predictable with any precision, we develop scenarios-specific predictions that individually may or may not prove true, yet collectively form a picture of a possible future. The value of the exercise is not dependent on the validity of any individual prediction: the overall picture is usually the most important element. Many organizations use the scenario development as the basis for a rigorous process of contingency planning.

The way this module works is as follows: a large WorkWall is templated with a timeline, starting with the current year and moving 20 to 50 years into the future. The WorkWall is sometimes also divided into horizontal tracks (for example, global, national, regional, local, organizational; or social structure, participants individually come up to the workWall, make a prediction, then write it in the appropriate space on the templated wall. After each participant has made a prediction, start the next round. three or four rounds is typical: for example: first round, name an event you think will occur, and when: second round-name a trend which you think will be significant; third round-name something you're afraid will occur; fourth round-name an event which you will be part of making happen.